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Research report · September 2026

Workforce in motion

Skills and pathways to future jobs in the United States

Where jobs could grow, which skills transfer, and how to help workers move into new opportunities.

Coauthor; led the research working team alongside colleagues across the McKinsey Global Institute.

The question

How can workers move from occupations with declining demand into jobs with better prospects?

Approach

The report examines US labor demand and the skills, credentials, and practical barriers involved in occupational transitions.

Finding

Around 11 million US workers could need to change occupations by 2035. More demand for workers does not automatically mean an easy route into a new job.

Why it matters

Employers, educators, and public institutions can make transitions more feasible by connecting existing skills to growing occupations and addressing training and access barriers.

What to keep in mind

These are scenarios for the United States, not a forecast of job losses caused solely by AI. Adoption, demand, and the support available to workers shape the outcome.

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